TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$224,446,576

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,198,377,813

501,416

Markets across

13,642

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,816

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

Total volume:
$11,339
Volume 24h:
$996
20%
Liquidity:
$24,115
3%
Open interest:
$6,770
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament, scheduled for May 25–June 5, 2026. Multiple platforms offer individual markets on named players (Gukesh, Carlsen, Keymer, Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa, Wesley So) plus generic placeholder players and a catch-all 'someone else' option. The core question is identical across platforms: determining the tournament winner based on official organizer results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Polymarket includes explicit cancellation/postponement resolution rules and a hard deadline (June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET) with 'Other' outcome; Kalshi provides no fallback clause or deadline, creating ambiguity in edge cases.

Hero Tip:

Polymarket offers clearer protection for delay/cancellation scenarios via the 'Other' outcome and June 19 deadline. Kalshi markets lack this safety valve. If you are risk-averse, prefer Polymarket's explicit edge-case handling. If the tournament runs on schedule and completes by June 19, both platforms should resolve identically.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: 18 individual markets covering 6 named players (Gukesh, Carlsen, Keymer, Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa, Wesley So), 9 placeholder players (A–J), and 'someone else' catch-all. Hard deadline: June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Cancellation/postponement/no-winner scenarios resolve to 'Other'. Quote: 'If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to Other.'
  • Kalshi: 6 individual binary markets (one per named player). Each resolves Yes if that player wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament (May 25–June 5, 2026). No explicit cancellation, postponement, or fallback clause provided. Quote: 'If [Player] wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.