TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
kalshi
polymarket

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Volume:
$137,734

O/U 131.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 131.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,205
N/A
N/A
$8,510
Settled
No
polymarket

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,861
N/A
N/A
$22,879
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 12.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,376
N/A
N/A
$11,358
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 3.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$463
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 6.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,800
N/A
N/A
$2,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 15.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,955
N/A
N/A
$1,668
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 18.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 133.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 12.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 18.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 15.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Northwestern wins by over 6.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Northwestern Wildcats and Minnesota Golden Gophers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Minnesota. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread variations, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi employs a redundant binary Yes/No architecture with 12 overlapping point-differential thresholds, while Polymarket uses standard categorical moneyline, spread, and over/under markets. Both platforms reference the same game and final score, but market structure and outcome labeling differ fundamentally.Hero tip: Kalshi's 12 markets will all resolve Yes or all resolve No based on the final point differential—they are not independent. Polymarket's moneyline and spread markets are mutually exclusive. Use Polymarket for directional exposure; use Kalshi only if you need granular threshold confirmation or are hedging specific spread ranges. Always cross-check the final margin against both platforms' thresholds to avoid settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 12 separate binary Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific point-differential threshold. All markets reference the same game outcome but trigger Yes only if the margin exceeds the stated threshold. Example: Market 1 resolves Yes if Northwestern wins by >12.5; Market 6 resolves Yes if Northwestern wins by >6.5. If final score is Northwestern +10, Markets 6 and 9 resolve Yes (Northwestern >6.5 and >3.5), but Markets 1, 7, 8, 5 resolve No. Key Quote: 'If Northwestern wins by more than 12.5 points in the Northwestern at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three distinct market families: (1) Moneyline—categorical Northwestern vs Minnesota winner; (2) Over/Under—combined team points at 131.5 or 133.5 thresholds; (3) Spread—Minnesota at -2.5, -3.5, or -4.5 (resolves Minnesota if they win by 3, 4, or 5+ points respectively; otherwise Northwestern). Each market is independent and categorical. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Minnesota Golden Gophers if the Minnesota Golden Gophers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Northwestern Wildcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.