TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
Volume:
$137,734
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Northwestern Wildcats and Minnesota Golden Gophers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Minnesota. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread variations, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs a redundant binary Yes/No architecture with 12 overlapping point-differential thresholds, while Polymarket uses standard categorical moneyline, spread, and over/under markets. Both platforms reference the same game and final score, but market structure and outcome labeling differ fundamentally.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's 12 markets will all resolve Yes or all resolve No based on the final point differential—they are not independent. Polymarket's moneyline and spread markets are mutually exclusive. Use Polymarket for directional exposure; use Kalshi only if you need granular threshold confirmation or are hedging specific spread ranges. Always cross-check the final margin against both platforms' thresholds to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 12 separate binary Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific point-differential threshold. All markets reference the same game outcome but trigger Yes only if the margin exceeds the stated threshold. Example: Market 1 resolves Yes if Northwestern wins by >12.5; Market 6 resolves Yes if Northwestern wins by >6.5. If final score is Northwestern +10, Markets 6 and 9 resolve Yes (Northwestern >6.5 and >3.5), but Markets 1, 7, 8, 5 resolve No. Key Quote: 'If Northwestern wins by more than 12.5 points in the Northwestern at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three distinct market families: (1) Moneyline—categorical Northwestern vs Minnesota winner; (2) Over/Under—combined team points at 131.5 or 133.5 thresholds; (3) Spread—Minnesota at -2.5, -3.5, or -4.5 (resolves Minnesota if they win by 3, 4, or 5+ points respectively; otherwise Northwestern). Each market is independent and categorical. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Minnesota Golden Gophers if the Minnesota Golden Gophers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Northwestern Wildcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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