TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
Volume:
$150,062
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Northwestern State Demons and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-5.5 and -6.5), and over/under totals (133.5 and 134.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Northwestern St. win and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals are internally consistent and should be used as the reference resolution logic. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the moneyline should resolve Yes/No based on a specific team outcome, or if the market description contains a drafting error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the name of the winning team (Northwestern State Demons or Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-5.5 requires 6+ point win, -6.5 requires 7+ point win). Totals resolve based on combined score (133.5 threshold = 134+, 134.5 threshold = 135+). All markets include overtime in final score. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Key Quote: 'If the Northwestern State Demons win, the market will resolve to Northwestern State Demons.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Northwestern St. wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Texas A&M-Corpus Christi wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No. Key Quote: 'If Northwestern St. wins the Northwestern St. at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M-Corpus Christi wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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