A men's college basketball game between Northwestern State Demons and Nicholls Colonels scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes, and total points over/under at multiple thresholds (138.5, 139.5, 140.5, 141.5).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on core resolution logic: final score determines outcome, overtime included, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split, and all thresholds are evaluated on combined final points.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA game result and final box score from the March 8, 2026 game
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Market resolves to the team with the higher final score (Northwestern State Demons or Nicholls Colonels)
Spread (-2.5): Nicholls Colonels wins if they win by 3+ points; Northwestern State Demons wins otherwise
Spread (-1.5): Nicholls Colonels wins if they win by 2+ points; Northwestern State Demons wins otherwise
Over/Under 141.5: Over if combined score is 142+; Under if combined score is 141 or less
Over/Under 140.5: Over if combined score is 141+; Under if combined score is 140 or less
Over/Under 139.5: Over if combined score is 140+; Under if combined score is 139 or less
Over/Under 138.5: Over if combined score is 139+; Under if combined score is 138 or less
All scoring includes overtime periods in the final tally
Postponement: Markets remain open until game completion
Cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Overtime: All final scores include overtime periods; markets do not distinguish between regulation and OT scoring
Postponement: If game is postponed, markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled game is completed
Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool)
Spread Push: Spread markets do not explicitly address exact-margin outcomes (e.g., Nicholls wins by exactly 2.5 points is impossible in basketball, but if margin equals threshold, spread resolves to the non-favored team)
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final score is official on March 8, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed). Markets remain open if postponed until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.