TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix
Volume:
$322,397
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Northern Kentucky Norse and Green Bay Phoenix scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Green Bay win and Northern Kentucky win) resolve to Yes, leaving no path to a No resolution. This violates binary market structure and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Disregard the Kalshi moneyline entirely. Trade only Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets. All Polymarket markets correctly resolve based on final score including overtime, with consistent 50-50 cancellation handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Green Bay wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Northern Kentucky wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where all possible game outcomes map to Yes, leaving no logical path to No resolution.
- Polymarket: Moneyline, spread, and over/under markets all follow standard sports betting logic: moneyline resolves to winner name, spreads resolve based on point differential, totals resolve based on combined score. All reference NCAA.com as source with consistent overtime and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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