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Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix
kalshi
polymarket

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix

Volume:
$322,397

Northern Kentucky

 - Kalshi

Northern Kentucky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northern Kentucky

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121,060
N/A
N/A
$79,100
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,231
N/A
N/A
$139,100
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 145.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 146.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 147.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

A college basketball game between Northern Kentucky Norse and Green Bay Phoenix scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Green Bay win and Northern Kentucky win) resolve to Yes, leaving no path to a No resolution. This violates binary market structure and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Disregard the Kalshi moneyline entirely. Trade only Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets. All Polymarket markets correctly resolve based on final score including overtime, with consistent 50-50 cancellation handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Green Bay wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Northern Kentucky wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where all possible game outcomes map to Yes, leaving no logical path to No resolution.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline, spread, and over/under markets all follow standard sports betting logic: moneyline resolves to winner name, spreads resolve based on point differential, totals resolve based on combined score. All reference NCAA.com as source with consistent overtime and cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.