This event group covers a college basketball game between Northern Colorado Bears and Montana Grizzlies scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline winner, total points over/under 152.5, and point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5 for Northern Colorado.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Northern Colorado win and Montana win outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard, consistent sports betting resolution logic.
Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's moneyline market logic as written. For all markets on this event group, apply Polymarket's resolution framework: final score determines winner, spreads apply standard point differential rules, totals use combined points including overtime, and cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Confirm game completion status before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Northern Colorado wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Montana wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market structure.
Polymarket: Moneyline, spread, and total markets all use standard resolution: winner determined by final score including overtime, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50, postponement keeps market open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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