A college basketball matchup between North Texas Mean Green and UAB Blazers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-4.5 and -5.5 for UAB), and total points over/under at 141.5 and 142.5.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (UAB win and North Texas win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), creating an unresolvable tautology. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely until the platform issues a corrected version. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets as your primary trading venues—they have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and consistent edge-case handling.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve based on margin (UAB -4.5 requires 5+ point win; UAB -5.5 requires 6+ point win); totals resolve based on combined score (142+ = Over at 141.5 line; 143+ = Over at 142.5 line). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Market states: 'If UAB wins the North Texas at UAB men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Texas wins the North Texas at UAB men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical contradiction with no defined No outcome.
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