TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
Volume:
$209,691
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between North Dakota State Bison and St. Thomas (MN) Tommies scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variations, and over/under total points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (North Dakota State win and St. Thomas win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable due to contradictory resolution logic. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are safe to trade and use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has both outcomes resolving to Yes. Logic: If North Dakota St. wins, resolves Yes. If St. Thomas wins, resolves Yes. This creates no path to a No resolution and violates basic binary market logic.
- Polymarket: All markets use coherent, mutually exclusive logic. Moneyline resolves to winning team name. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (St. Thomas -3.5 requires 4+ point win; -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined score thresholds (154.5 or 155.5). All include 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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