TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)
Volume:
$6,846,814
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the women's college basketball game between North Carolina and Connecticut (UConn), originally scheduled for March 27, 2026, played at UConn's home venue. The market settles to Yes if either team wins the game; notably, both a UConn victory and a North Carolina victory trigger a Yes resolution, which is logically impossible under standard binary market mechanics.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for either outcome (UConn or North Carolina wins), while Polymarket resolves to a specific winner name. Kalshi's binary YES/NO structure conflicts with Polymarket's winner-identification structure.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, this market resolves YES regardless of which team wins the game. On Polymarket, the market resolves to either 'North Carolina Tar Heels' or 'Connecticut Huskies' depending on the actual winner. If you hold positions on both platforms, understand that Kalshi's YES outcome is guaranteed if the game is played, while Polymarket requires you to have picked the correct winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either UConn or North Carolina wins the March 27, 2026 game. The market structure treats both possible outcomes as YES resolutions, with no NO outcome possible if the game is completed. Key quote: 'If UConn wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to a specific team name ('North Carolina Tar Heels' or 'Connecticut Huskies') based on which team wins the March 27 game at 5:00 PM ET. The market identifies the winner rather than returning a binary YES/NO. Key quote: 'If the North Carolina Tar Heels win, the market will resolve to North Carolina Tar Heels. If the Connecticut Huskies win, the market will resolve to Connecticut Huskies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.