TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)
Volume:
$794,781
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Michigan Wolverines on March 22 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Michigan wins OR North Carolina State wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where exactly one team resolves as the winner.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules state the market resolves YES if either team wins, which is logically impossible for a binary sports outcome. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version — it correctly resolves to either 'North Carolina State Wolfpack' or 'Michigan Wolverines' based on the final score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where the market resolves to the name of the winning team ('North Carolina State Wolfpack' or 'Michigan Wolverines'), with clear postponement and cancellation rules. Key quote: 'If the North Carolina State Wolfpack win, the market will resolve to North Carolina State Wolfpack. If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw where both possible game outcomes (Michigan wins OR North Carolina State wins) are stated to resolve the market to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Michigan wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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