TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. UNCW Seahawks (W)
Volume:
$148,190
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between North Carolina A&T Aggies and UNCW Seahawks scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes resolution structure is logically incoherent and makes the market unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket's categorical resolution is standard and functional. The two platforms cannot be reconciled.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event. The market design guarantees Yes regardless of game outcome, eliminating price discovery and directional risk. All trading activity should occur on Polymarket, which offers proper binary categorical resolution (Team A vs Team B).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/Yes structure. Both possible game outcomes (UNCW wins OR A&T wins) are mapped to Yes resolution. This eliminates the market's ability to differentiate outcomes. Key quote: 'If UNC Wilmington wins...resolves to Yes. If North Carolina A&T wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution to team name. Winner resolves to their team name (North Carolina A&T Aggies or UNCW Seahawks). Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key quote: 'If the North Carolina A&T Aggies win, the market will resolve to North Carolina A&T Aggies. If the UNCW Seahawks win, the market will resolve to UNCW Seahawks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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