TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Elon Phoenix
Volume:
$237,684
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between North Carolina A&T Aggies and Elon Phoenix scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, multiple point spreads, and over/under totals on Polymarket, with a separate moneyline confirmation market on Kalshi.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (North Carolina A&T win or Elon win) are specified to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. Use official NCAA.com final score as your settlement source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the name of the winning team (North Carolina A&T Aggies or Elon Phoenix). Spreads resolve based on final margin: Elon -7.5 resolves Yes if Elon wins by 8+; Elon -8.5 resolves Yes if Elon wins by 9+. Totals resolve Over if combined score is 152+ (for 151.5 line) or 154+ (for 153.5 line). All markets postpone if game is delayed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If North Carolina A&T wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Elon wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. Key quote: 'If North Carolina A&T wins the North Carolina A&T at Elon men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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