TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears (W)
Volume:
$72,269
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Norfolk State Spartans and Morgan State Bears scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Norfolk State win or Morgan State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating irreconcilable settlement risk.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi. The market structure is broken—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes. Polymarket is the only resolvable venue for this event. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the No condition should trigger on Morgan State victory.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Norfolk State victory resolves to Norfolk State Spartans; Morgan State victory resolves to Morgan State Bears. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Malformed Yes/No structure where both possible outcomes map to Yes. Norfolk State win = Yes; Morgan State win = Yes. No condition is never specified, creating a logical impossibility. Market cannot distinguish between the two teams or settle fairly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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