TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$218,201,443

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,797,601

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,191,873,651

500,842

Markets across

13,663

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,809

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
polymarket
kalshi
Trending

NL: Geneve-Servette vs. Lausanne

Volume:
$12,746
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a professional ice hockey match between Genève-Servette and Lausanne (HC Lausanne) in the Swiss National League, scheduled for March 25, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's resolution logic contains a critical contradiction: both 'Genève Servette wins' and 'HC Lausanne wins' resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes (one team wins, the other loses), while Kalshi's dual-Yes structure violates basic binary market logic.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules are internally contradictory and will create a settlement dispute regardless of the game outcome. Polymarket's market is the only logically sound option for this event.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket defines mutually exclusive outcomes where exactly one team wins and the market resolves to that team's name. Key quote: 'If Geneve-Servette win, the market will resolve to Geneve-Servette. If Lausanne win, the market will resolve to Lausanne.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (critical flaw): Kalshi specifies that the market resolves Yes for both possible outcomes—'If Genève Servette wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Lausanne wins...then the market resolves to Yes'—creating a logical impossibility where every outcome is a Yes resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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