TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NL: Davos vs. ZSC Lions
Volume:
$1,651
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between HC Davos and ZSC Lions scheduled for April 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (ZSC Lions win or HC Davos win) resolve to the same state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects its resolution logic. The market as currently written cannot distinguish between the two teams and violates basic binary market design. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Davos win resolves to 'Davos', ZSC Lions win resolves to 'ZSC Lions'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Final score includes overtime and shootout (one goal added to winner for resolution purposes).
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: market states 'If ZSC Lions wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Davos wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, making it impossible to distinguish the winner. No edge case provisions mentioned.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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