TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NL: Biel vs. Bern
Volume:
$5,064
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional ice hockey match between EHC Biel and SC Bern in Switzerland's National League, scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction in its resolution criteria: both possible outcomes (Bern win OR Biel win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market incapable of distinguishing between outcomes. Polymarket uses proper binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the market is corrected. The Kalshi market as written will resolve Yes with 100% certainty regardless of game outcome, eliminating all uncertainty and predictive value. Polymarket is the only resolvable market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Proper binary winner-take-all structure. Biel victory resolves to Biel, Bern victory resolves to Bern. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key quote: If Biel win, the market will resolve to Biel. If Bern win, the market will resolve to Bern.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure where both possible game outcomes resolve identically to Yes. Market cannot distinguish between Bern winning and Biel winning. Key quote: If SC Bern wins...resolves to Yes. If EHC Biel wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.