TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Volume:
$524,233
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Niagara Purple Eagles and Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under totals at multiple thresholds (128.5, 129.5, 130.5, 131.5), and point spread outcomes at -6.5 and -7.5 for Mount St. Mary's.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Mount St. Mary's win OR Niagara win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no defined condition for No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable under standard game completion scenarios.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until resolution logic is clarified. The Polymarket suite is internally consistent and resolvable. Request explicit definition of the Kalshi No condition from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Seven distinct markets with unified logic: moneyline resolves to winning team name; spreads resolve based on margin (Mount St. Mary's -6.5 requires 7+ point win, -7.5 requires 8+ point win); totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (128.5→129+, 129.5→130+, 130.5→131+, 131.5→132+). All markets: postponement = stay open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Single market with incomplete definition: 'If Mount St. Mary's wins...resolves to Yes. If Niagara wins...resolves to Yes.' No condition defined for No resolution. Scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. Logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes map to same resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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