TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Iona Gaels (W)
Volume:
$135,787
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Niagara Purple Eagles and Iona Gaels scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Iona's venue. The markets track the winner of this matchup across two prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Niagara win and Iona win) are mapped to Yes, making the market unresolvable as specified. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution by team name.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it is logically broken. Confirm with Kalshi whether the Iona win outcome should resolve to No instead of Yes. Polymarket's market is resolvable and uses industry-standard categorical naming. Only trade Polymarket until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with both outcomes mapped to Yes. Both 'Niagara wins' and 'Iona wins' resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Niagara wins...resolves to Yes. If Iona wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution by team name. Niagara victory resolves to 'Niagara Purple Eagles', Iona victory resolves to 'Iona Gaels'. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Quote: 'If the Niagara Purple Eagles win, the market will resolve to Niagara Purple Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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