TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$13,930
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC EPL match scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets track whether Newcastle leads, Sunderland leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's halftime result market conflates all three possible outcomes into a single Yes resolution, rendering it non-predictive. Polymarket offers three independent binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The two platforms measure fundamentally different things.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is uninformative—it will resolve Yes whenever the match is completed, regardless of halftime score. Only Polymarket's three separate markets (Newcastle leading, Draw, Sunderland leading) are viable for prediction trading. Ignore Kalshi for decision-making.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes for Newcastle win, tie, or Sunderland win at halftime. All three outcomes trigger Yes. Quote: 'If Newcastle is the winner... If Tie is the result... If Sunderland is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Newcastle leading at halftime (Yes/No), (2) Draw at halftime (Yes/No), (3) Sunderland leading at halftime (Yes/No). Each resolves independently based on actual halftime score. Quote: 'If Newcastle United FC wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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