TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Zealand vs. Egypt
Total volume:
$232
Volume 24h:
$49
40%
Liquidity:
$22,098
12%
Open interest:
$328
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FIFA World Cup match between New Zealand and Egypt scheduled for June 21, 2026. Markets across four platforms (Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict) offer binary outcomes on the three possible match results: New Zealand win, Egypt win, or Draw. All markets resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result handling differs across platforms. Limitless and Polymarket/Predict treat match cancellation as triggering YES for Draw markets but NO for win markets, while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause. Additionally, Limitless sets a hard deadline of July 22, 2026, 01:00 UTC for result publication, whereas other platforms reference postponement logic without a hard cutoff.Hero Tip:
For traders: If you hold Draw positions on Limitless, Polymarket, or Predict, a match cancellation with no reschedule triggers YES resolution. If you hold New Zealand or Egypt win positions, cancellation triggers NO. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language creates settlement risk; assume it will follow standard sports betting convention (no result = no payout). Verify match status against FIFA.com and official tournament communications as the July 22 deadline approaches.Critical Divergence Points:
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed with official result by July 22, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Win markets resolve NO if match is not completed by that deadline. Hard cutoff date enforced.
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets resolve NO if canceled. Postponed matches remain open until completion. No hard deadline stated.
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: Draw resolves YES on cancellation with no reschedule; win markets resolve NO. Postponed matches remain open. No hard deadline stated.
- Kalshi: No explicit cancellation or no-result clause provided. Resolution logic only addresses outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Ambiguous on match cancellation or postponement handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.