TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New York Red Bulls vs. New England Revolution
Volume:
$260,946
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets track whether New York wins, New England wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled) that contradicts the standard binary logic applied to win markets and is not mirrored in Kalshi's market structure.Hero Tip:
Monitor for game cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw bettors receive YES resolution while win bettors receive NO, creating an asymmetric payout. Kalshi's silence on cancellation means clarification is needed before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Red Bulls win (YES if NYRB wins, NO otherwise), Revolution win (YES if NER wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if match ends tied, but also YES if game canceled with no makeup). Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets that each resolve YES if their specific outcome occurs (New York win, Tie, or New England win). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Quote: 'If New York wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If New England wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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