TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati
polymarket
kalshi

New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati

Volume:
$425,042

New York Red Bulls

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$291,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,182
N/A
N/A
$23,530
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,822
N/A
N/A
$16,718
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,117
N/A
N/A
$6,565
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Red Bulls win, Draw, Cincinnati win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market that resolves YES for all three possible outcomes, making Kalshi's market logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market. Polymarket's three binary markets are coherent and mutually exclusive — exactly one will resolve YES. Kalshi's single market claims to resolve YES if Cincinnati wins, if a tie occurs, or if New York wins, which is logically impossible since one outcome must occur. This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Red Bulls win, Draw, Cincinnati win). Exactly one will resolve YES based on the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution source is official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Quote: 'If New York Red Bulls wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions that collectively cover all possible match outcomes, claiming the market resolves YES if Cincinnati wins, if a tie occurs, OR if New York wins. This creates a logical contradiction where the market would resolve YES regardless of the actual result, making it fundamentally unresolvable. Quote: 'If Cincinnati wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If New York wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.