TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New York City FC vs. Orlando City SC
Volume:
$245,576
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Major League Soccer match between New York City FC and Orlando City SC scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: an Orlando City win, a New York City FC win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly specifies cancellation resolution for each outcome type (Win markets resolve No, Draw resolves Yes), while Kalshi does not address cancellation scenarios, creating potential resolution ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor MLS official schedule for any postponements or cancellations. If the game is canceled, expect Polymarket Draw market to resolve Yes while Win markets resolve No. Kalshi's resolution path is unclear in cancellation scenarios—contact support for clarification before expiration. Do not assume Kalshi mirrors Polymarket's cancellation logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Explicitly handles three outcomes with clear cancellation rules: Orlando win resolves Yes if Orlando wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled or NYCFC wins. Draw resolves Yes if game ends tied in 90+stoppage, Yes if canceled entirely. NYCFC win resolves Yes if NYCFC wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled or Orlando wins. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for Win markets) and 'will resolve Yes' (for Draw market).
- Kalshi: Provides three binary outcomes (NYCFC win, Orlando win, Tie) all resolving to Yes if the respective outcome occurs within 90+stoppage time. Does not explicitly address postponement or cancellation scenarios. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for all three markets, with no contingency language for game cancellation or postponement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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