TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York City FC vs. Orlando City SC
kalshi
polymarket

New York City FC vs. Orlando City SC

Volume:
$245,576

New York City FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72,760
N/A
N/A
$29,444
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orlando

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,554
N/A
N/A
$25,418
Settled
No
polymarket

Orlando City SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,930
N/A
N/A
$8,043
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (New York City FC vs. Orlando City SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Major League Soccer match between New York City FC and Orlando City SC scheduled for March 7, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: an Orlando City win, a New York City FC win, or a draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly specifies cancellation resolution for each outcome type (Win markets resolve No, Draw resolves Yes), while Kalshi does not address cancellation scenarios, creating potential resolution ambiguity.Hero tip: Monitor MLS official schedule for any postponements or cancellations. If the game is canceled, expect Polymarket Draw market to resolve Yes while Win markets resolve No. Kalshi's resolution path is unclear in cancellation scenarios—contact support for clarification before expiration. Do not assume Kalshi mirrors Polymarket's cancellation logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Explicitly handles three outcomes with clear cancellation rules: Orlando win resolves Yes if Orlando wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled or NYCFC wins. Draw resolves Yes if game ends tied in 90+stoppage, Yes if canceled entirely. NYCFC win resolves Yes if NYCFC wins in 90+stoppage, No if canceled or Orlando wins. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for Win markets) and 'will resolve Yes' (for Draw market).
  • Kalshi: Provides three binary outcomes (NYCFC win, Orlando win, Tie) all resolving to Yes if the respective outcome occurs within 90+stoppage time. Does not explicitly address postponement or cancellation scenarios. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes' for all three markets, with no contingency language for game cancellation or postponement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.