TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC
kalshi
polymarket

New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC

Volume:
$41,764

New York City FC

 - Polymarket

New York City FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 7:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,630
N/A
N/A
$1,340
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,480
N/A
N/A
$1,159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
$378
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Colorado Rapids SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Major League Soccer match between New York City FC (home) and Colorado Rapids SC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span total goals scored (over/under thresholds) and match outcome (win/loss/draw), all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers multiple total goals thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) while Polymarket offers outcome-based markets (win/loss/draw). Both measure the same 90-minute window plus stoppage time, but they are fundamentally different market types (goal volume vs. match result).Hero tip: These are not contradictory—they measure different things. Treat Kalshi's four markets as separate SKUs with a natural hierarchy: if >3.5 resolves Yes, then >2.5 and >1.5 also resolve Yes. Polymarket's outcome markets are independent. Cross-platform arbitrage is possible only if you are comparing outcome-derived goal counts (e.g., a 2-1 result implies >1.5 and >2.5 on Kalshi, and a win on Polymarket). No settlement conflict exists.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four total goals over/under markets at thresholds 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5. All measure combined Colorado + NYCFC goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each resolves Yes if the threshold is exceeded. Quote: 'If Colorado and New York City collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three outcome markets: NYCFC win, Colorado win, and draw. Each resolves based on the final match result (not goal volume) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves draw to Yes, others to No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [to Yes for draw, No for win markets].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.