TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Orleans Privateers vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (W)
Volume:
$59,673
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the New Orleans Privateers and Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks scheduled for February 19, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (New Orleans win or Stephen F. Austin win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making it impossible to differentiate between outcomes. This is a fundamental data integrity failure that renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this matchup. Kalshi's market structure is broken and cannot properly settle. Do not risk capital on Kalshi's version until the platform corrects the resolution criteria to create mutually exclusive outcome mappings.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to 'New Orleans Privateers' if New Orleans wins or 'Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks' if Stephen F. Austin wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Defective logical structure mapping both possible outcomes to identical resolution. States both 'If New Orleans wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Stephen F. Austin wins...resolves to Yes,' creating logical impossibility. Key Quote: 'If New Orleans wins...resolves to Yes. If Stephen F. Austin wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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