TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Volume:
$1,545,486
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between New Mexico State Aggies and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), over/under total points (146.5), and point spread (-5.5 favoring Middle Tennessee). The group aggregates three distinct market types across two platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Middle Tennessee win and New Mexico State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-discriminative.Hero Tip:
Trade Polymarket markets with confidence; they are logically sound and consistently specify postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) handling. Avoid Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies whether this is a data entry error or an intentional 'game occurs' market. If you hold Kalshi exposure, request manual review from their settlement team.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct, internally consistent markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to winner name; (2) Over/Under 146.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 147, Under if < 147; (3) Spread resolves to Middle Tennessee if they win by 6+, otherwise New Mexico State. All three specify: postponement = market remains open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Middle Tennessee wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If New Mexico St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to Yes, creating a tautology. No handling specified for postponement or cancellation. This is logically contradictory and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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