This event group covers the women's college basketball game between New Mexico State Aggies and Liberty Flames scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—both possible outcomes (New Mexico St. win and Liberty win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (winner name). These incompatible structures prevent unified settlement.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this contradiction is clarified with the platform. Polymarket's structure is standard and resolvable. If Kalshi intended to create a Yes/No on whether the game occurs or completes, that should be explicitly stated. Request clarification from Kalshi support before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if New Mexico St. wins; also resolves to Yes if Liberty wins. This is logically impossible and suggests a documentation or platform error. No No outcome is defined.
Polymarket: Resolves to 'New Mexico State Aggies' if they win; resolves to 'Liberty Flames' if they win. Standard categorical winner resolution with explicit cancellation (50-50 split) and postponement (market remains open) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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