TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggies (W)
Volume:
$459
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between New Mexico Lobos and Utah State Aggies scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (either team winning), making it logically unresolvable and uninformative. Polymarket correctly implements a binary winner-take-all structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken by design and will always resolve Yes unless the game is canceled or postponed. Avoid trading on Kalshi. Use Polymarket exclusively for this event, where the binary structure correctly captures the winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to New Mexico Lobos if NM wins, Utah State Aggies if Utah State wins. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos. If the Utah State Aggies win, the market will resolve to Utah State Aggies.'
- Kalshi: Yes/No market that resolves Yes if either team wins. Logically contradictory: both possible outcomes map to the same resolution. Key quote: 'If Utah St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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