TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
polymarket
kalshi

New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

Volume:
$3,436,789

Nevada

 - Kalshi

Nevada - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 25, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nevada

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,563,030
N/A
N/A
$925,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Mexico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,694,380
N/A
N/A
$1,182,658
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,993
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146,866
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 149.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,476
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,259
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 152.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,011
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 148.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 151.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 9

Description

A college basketball game between the New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across multiple thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: it resolves Yes if either team wins, making the outcome predetermined and the market unresolvable to No under any normal game completion scenario. This contradicts Polymarket's coherent binary and derivative market structure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. It is logically broken and will resolve Yes regardless of which team wins (assuming the game is not canceled). Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all well-formed and internally consistent. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should be "Nevada wins" or "New Mexico wins" before the game is played.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either "New Mexico Lobos" or "Nevada Wolf Pack" based on final score. Spread markets (NM -1.5 and Nevada -1.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Total markets (O/U 152.5, 151.5, 149.5, 148.5) resolve based on combined points. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos. If the Nevada Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to Nevada Wolf Pack.'
  • Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Nevada wins OR if New Mexico wins. This creates a logical tautology where the market cannot resolve No under normal game completion. Key quote: 'If Nevada wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit No resolution condition is provided for game completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.