TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
Volume:
$3,436,789
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: it resolves Yes if either team wins, making the outcome predetermined and the market unresolvable to No under any normal game completion scenario. This contradicts Polymarket's coherent binary and derivative market structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. It is logically broken and will resolve Yes regardless of which team wins (assuming the game is not canceled). Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all well-formed and internally consistent. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the market should be "Nevada wins" or "New Mexico wins" before the game is played.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either "New Mexico Lobos" or "Nevada Wolf Pack" based on final score. Spread markets (NM -1.5 and Nevada -1.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Total markets (O/U 152.5, 151.5, 149.5, 148.5) resolve based on combined points. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos. If the Nevada Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to Nevada Wolf Pack.'
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Nevada wins OR if New Mexico wins. This creates a logical tautology where the market cannot resolve No under normal game completion. Key quote: 'If Nevada wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit No resolution condition is provided for game completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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