TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Haven Chargers vs. Wagner Seahawks
Volume:
$182,414
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the New Haven Chargers and Wagner Seahawks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, the spread outcome (Wagner -2.5), and two over/under totals (130.5 and 131.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Wagner win and New Haven win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction. Polymarket's markets are logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets are all well-formed and consistent with standard sports betting resolution rules. Verify Kalshi's actual market terms directly with the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Wagner wins, resolve Yes. If New Haven wins, resolve Yes. This is a logical tautology that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Wagner wins the New Haven at Wagner men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Haven wins the New Haven at Wagner men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly maps outcomes: If New Haven wins, resolve to New Haven Chargers. If Wagner wins, resolve to Wagner Seahawks. Spread and over/under markets use standard threshold-based logic with consistent postponement and cancellation rules. Quote: 'If the New Haven Chargers win, the market will resolve to New Haven Chargers. If the Wagner Seahawks win, the market will resolve to Wagner Seahawks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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