TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers
Volume:
$142,642
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between New Hampshire Wildcats and UMBC Retrievers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -12.5 and -13.5, and over/under totals at 137.5 and 138.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both New Hampshire win and UMBC win resolve to 'Yes', making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent across all SKUs.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken due to identical resolution outcomes for mutually exclusive events. This is a critical data integrity failure. Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the market description. Polymarket markets are safe to trade and internally consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'New Hampshire Wildcats' or 'UMBC Retrievers' based on final score winner. Spreads (-12.5, -13.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (13+ or 14+ points respectively). Totals (137.5, 138.5) resolve based on combined score (138+ or 139+ points). All markets: postponement = remain open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If New Hampshire wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UMBC wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No specification of what 'No' outcome represents or how to distinguish between teams.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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