TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers
polymarket
kalshi

New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers

Volume:
$142,642

UMBC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMBC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,364
N/A
N/A
$69,410
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 138.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 137.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Hampshire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,544
N/A
N/A
$41,652
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between New Hampshire Wildcats and UMBC Retrievers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -12.5 and -13.5, and over/under totals at 137.5 and 138.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both New Hampshire win and UMBC win resolve to 'Yes', making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent across all SKUs.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken due to identical resolution outcomes for mutually exclusive events. This is a critical data integrity failure. Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the market description. Polymarket markets are safe to trade and internally consistent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'New Hampshire Wildcats' or 'UMBC Retrievers' based on final score winner. Spreads (-12.5, -13.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (13+ or 14+ points respectively). Totals (137.5, 138.5) resolve based on combined score (138+ or 139+ points). All markets: postponement = remain open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If New Hampshire wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UMBC wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No specification of what 'No' outcome represents or how to distinguish between teams.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.