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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W)

Volume:
$7,564

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W)

 - Polymarket

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UNLV

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,210
0%
0%
$1,913
N/A
kalshi

Nevada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,303
0%
0%
$4,992
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and UNLV Runnin' Rebels scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (UNLV win and Nevada win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-binary. Polymarket uses a standard binary winner-take-all structure.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic guarantees Yes regardless of outcome, creating an arbitrage trap. Polymarket's structure is logically sound and should be the reference market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all: Nevada Wolf Pack win resolves to Nevada Wolf Pack; UNLV win resolves to UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory logic: both UNLV win and Nevada win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no logical path to No resolution. This makes the market non-binary and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.