TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (W)
Volume:
$7,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and UNLV Runnin' Rebels scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (UNLV win and Nevada win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-binary. Polymarket uses a standard binary winner-take-all structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic guarantees Yes regardless of outcome, creating an arbitrage trap. Polymarket's structure is logically sound and should be the reference market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all: Nevada Wolf Pack win resolves to Nevada Wolf Pack; UNLV win resolves to UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: both UNLV win and Nevada win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no logical path to No resolution. This makes the market non-binary and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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