TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$56,501
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and Fresno State Bulldogs scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Nevada win and Fresno State win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as written cannot function—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary game. Polymarket's structure is sound. Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic, likely changing the second condition to resolve to No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Nevada win → Nevada Wolf Pack resolution, Fresno State win → Fresno State Bulldogs resolution. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logic: Both Nevada win AND Fresno State win are stated to resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Nevada wins... resolves to Yes. If Fresno St. wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive binary event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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