TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (W)

Volume:
$56,501

Fresno St.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fresno St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,790
N/A
N/A
$28,675
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nevada

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,711
N/A
N/A
$9,574
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and Fresno State Bulldogs scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Nevada win and Fresno State win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as written cannot function—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary game. Polymarket's structure is sound. Do not trade Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic, likely changing the second condition to resolve to No.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Nevada win → Nevada Wolf Pack resolution, Fresno State win → Fresno State Bulldogs resolution. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Defective logic: Both Nevada win AND Fresno State win are stated to resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Nevada wins... resolves to Yes. If Fresno St. wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a mutually exclusive binary event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.