TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nets vs. Raptors
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 6:00PM ET: If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers coherent, mutually exclusive markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props) with standard NBA resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely—it is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only on Polymarket's markets, which follow standard NBA settlement rules with clear winner/loser outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1–2) states 'If Toronto wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Brooklyn wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome resolves to YES, making the market unresolvable and unsuitable for trading. No other platform in this group exhibits this flaw.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA settlement: Polymarket offers 60 distinct, coherent markets covering moneyline (item 2: 'Nets' vs. 'Raptors'), spreads (items 6–25, 62–63, 68–83, 98–99, 114–115, 118–119), totals (items 4–5, 16–17, 72–73, 76–77, 78–79, 84–87, 89–91, 92–97, 100–107, 108–113, 116–117), first-half markets (items 18–23, 62–63), and player props (items 26–67). All resolve based on official NBA box scores with mutually exclusive outcomes and standard thresholds.
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