TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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NCAAM Conference Tournament Winner: Big Ten

Volume:
$8,388,425
Outcome
Chance %
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24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group tracks which team will win the 2026 Big Ten Men's College Basketball Conference Tournament. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer binary markets on individual teams (Michigan, UCLA, Northwestern, Rutgers, Oregon, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nebraska, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Illinois, Purdue, Washington, USC, Iowa) plus a catch-all "other team" option on Polymarket. Exactly one team will be declared the official 2026 Big Ten tournament champion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve to the official 2026 Big Ten Men's College Basketball Conference Tournament champion as declared by the NCAA and Big Ten Conference, with resolution deadline of March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Primary resolution logic:

Official NCAA sources (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1) and Big Ten Conference official records; consensus of credible reporting may supplement if needed.

Core resolution logic:

  • The 2026 Big Ten Men's College Basketball Conference Tournament winner is determined by the team that wins the official tournament bracket competition held in March 2026.
  • Each individual team market (e.g., 'Will Michigan win the 2026 Big Ten title?') resolves Yes if that team is declared the official tournament champion, No if eliminated or another team wins.
  • Polymarket's 'another team' option resolves Yes only if a team not explicitly listed wins the tournament.
  • Kalshi's 18 team-specific markets collectively cover all current Big Ten members as of 2026 (Michigan, UCLA, Northwestern, Rutgers, Oregon, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nebraska, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Illinois, Purdue, Washington, USC, Iowa).
  • Resolution source is official NCAA.com and Big Ten Conference announcements; credible media consensus may be used if official sources are delayed.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 Big Ten Conference Tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario; in such cases, Kalshi markets would likely remain unresolved pending clarification from the platform.
  • Multiple Co-Champions: If the Big Ten declares multiple co-champions (highly unlikely under standard tournament rules), Polymarket resolves in favor of the team whose name comes first alphabetically. Kalshi does not address this scenario.
  • Team Ineligibility or Withdrawal: If a listed team becomes ineligible to compete or withdraws before the tournament, Polymarket's corresponding market resolves to 'No'. Kalshi does not explicitly address this but would follow standard resolution logic (No if the team cannot win).
  • Timing of Resolution: Resolution occurs immediately upon official announcement of the 2026 Big Ten Conference Tournament champion, which typically occurs in late March 2026. Both platforms enforce a hard deadline of March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the 2026 Big Ten Men's College Basketball Conference Tournament champion, with a hard deadline of March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The tournament itself is held in March 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.