This event group tracks which team wins the 2026 NCAA Division I Men's College Basketball Big 12 Conference Tournament. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on the tournament champion, with Kalshi providing binary Yes/No markets for each of the 16 Big 12 member teams, while Polymarket offers individual winner markets plus an 'other' catch-all option.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms identify the same 16 Big 12 member teams as eligible winners and resolve based on the official NCAA-declared 2026 Big 12 conference tournament champion, with consistent handling of elimination and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA sources (ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1) and Big 12 Conference official records; credible consensus reporting as secondary source
Core resolution logic:
Resolution occurs when the 2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Conference Tournament concludes and an official champion is declared by the NCAA and Big 12 Conference
The winning team must be one of the 16 eligible Big 12 member teams: Kansas State, UCF, Utah, Texas Tech, Kansas, Arizona, Iowa State, BYU, Arizona State, Houston, West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Colorado, TCU, or Cincinnati
If a team is eliminated from tournament eligibility per Big 12 rules before or during the tournament, markets for that team resolve No
If multiple teams are declared co-champions, Polymarket resolves to the team whose name comes first alphabetically; Kalshi would resolve Yes for all co-champions
If the tournament is cancelled or no champion is declared by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi binary markets remain unresolved pending official determination
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 Big 12 Conference Tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi's binary markets would require explicit guidance from the platform but logically would not resolve Yes for any team.
Co-Champions: If two or more teams are declared co-champions, Polymarket applies alphabetical ordering (first alphabetically wins). Kalshi would resolve Yes for all co-champion teams.
Team Elimination: If a Big 12 member is removed from the conference or declared ineligible before the tournament, its corresponding market resolves No (Kalshi) or is excluded from consideration (Polymarket).
Delayed Declaration: If the NCAA does not officially declare a champion within the March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi markets remain pending official resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately upon official NCAA and Big 12 Conference announcement of the 2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Conference Tournament champion, but no later than March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no champion is declared by this deadline, Polymarket resolves to Other.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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