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NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5
kalshi
polymarket

NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5

Volume:
$25,736

NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: May 4, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Result
polymarket

NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 total games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,768
N/A
N/A
$1,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 total games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,639
N/A
N/A
$3,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 total games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 4.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three contradictory resolution conditions (>4.5, >5.5, >6.5 games) that cannot all be true simultaneously, creating logical impossibility. Polymarket provides a single, coherent threshold (>4.5 games). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely—the three mutually exclusive conditions mean no valid settlement is possible. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear Over (>4.5 games) / Under (≤4.5 games) logic. If you hold Kalshi contracts, escalate to support immediately for clarification or cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Single, coherent threshold: market resolves Over if more than 4.5 games are played (i.e., 5+ games), Under otherwise. Includes partial-series rule (if series incomplete by May 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolve by games played) and cancellation clause (50-50 if playoffs cancelled/postponed after deadline or no winner declared). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if more than 4.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series.'
  • Kalshi: Three separate resolution conditions listed: (1) If above 4.5 games played, resolves Yes; (2) If above 5.5 games played, resolves Yes; (3) If above 6.5 games played, resolves Yes. These conditions are logically contradictory—a series cannot simultaneously satisfy all three thresholds as independent resolution triggers. No clarification on which condition is primary, how ties are broken, or what happens if only one condition is met. Quote: 'If above 4.5 games... If above 5.5 games... If above 6.5 games...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.