TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5
Description
This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 4.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three contradictory resolution conditions (>4.5, >5.5, >6.5 games) that cannot all be true simultaneously, creating logical impossibility. Polymarket provides a single, coherent threshold (>4.5 games). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely—the three mutually exclusive conditions mean no valid settlement is possible. Trade only on Polymarket, which has clear Over (>4.5 games) / Under (≤4.5 games) logic. If you hold Kalshi contracts, escalate to support immediately for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Single, coherent threshold: market resolves Over if more than 4.5 games are played (i.e., 5+ games), Under otherwise. Includes partial-series rule (if series incomplete by May 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolve by games played) and cancellation clause (50-50 if playoffs cancelled/postponed after deadline or no winner declared). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if more than 4.5 games are played during the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series.'
- Kalshi: Three separate resolution conditions listed: (1) If above 4.5 games played, resolves Yes; (2) If above 5.5 games played, resolves Yes; (3) If above 6.5 games played, resolves Yes. These conditions are logically contradictory—a series cannot simultaneously satisfy all three thresholds as independent resolution triggers. No clarification on which condition is primary, how ties are broken, or what happens if only one condition is met. Quote: 'If above 4.5 games... If above 5.5 games... If above 6.5 games...'
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