This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Navy Midshipmen and Colgate Raiders scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and total points outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Navy and Colgate wins resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket lists conflicting game times (12:00 PM ET for spreads/totals vs 2:00 PM ET for moneyline).
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is logically broken. For Navy vs Colgate winner, use only Polymarket moneyline. Before trading spreads or totals, confirm the official game start time with NCAA.com, as the 1-hour discrepancy between Polymarket listings (12:00 PM vs 2:00 PM ET) creates settlement ambiguity.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Navy wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Colgate wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve Yes. No time specified for game.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Navy Midshipmen' or 'Colgate Raiders' (mutually exclusive, correct logic). Game time listed as 2:00 PM ET. However, spread and totals markets list game time as 12:00 PM ET—a 1-hour discrepancy that could affect settlement if game is postponed or rescheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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