TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Haras El Hodood SC
Volume:
$26,233
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between National Bank of Egypt Club and Haras El Hodood SC scheduled for April 5, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the match outcome: whether it will end in a draw, whether Haras El Hodood SC will win, and whether National Bank of Egypt Club will win.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market is logically tautological (resolves YES for any outcome), creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket markets contain internal contradictions on cancellation handling between the Draw market and Win markets, making unified settlement impossible.Hero Tip:
Kalshi market should not be traded—it provides no predictive value. Polymarket markets are tradeable but require explicit clarification on cancellation semantics. Request platform confirmation that cancellation with no makeup is treated consistently across all three markets, or treat them as separate, independent contracts with different payoff structures.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with unified match scope (90 min + stoppage, April 5, 2026) but divergent cancellation logic. Draw market: YES if canceled with no makeup. NBE Win market: NO if canceled with no makeup. Haras Win market: NO if canceled with no makeup. Resolution source: EFA official statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: Draw market states 'this market will resolve to Yes' on cancellation; Win markets state 'this market will resolve No'.
- Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (NBE Win, Tie, El Hodood Win) but resolution logic states all three resolve to YES, creating a logical impossibility. This is a tautology: the market will always resolve YES regardless of match result. No cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If National Bank Egypt wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If El Hodood wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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