TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.9b

24H VOL:

$98,273,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,605,299,299

484,869

Markets across

36,635

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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NASCAR: Daytona 500 winner
polymarket
kalshi

NASCAR: Daytona 500 winner

Volume:
$13,153,396

Tyler Reddick

 - Polymarket

Tyler Reddick - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Daytona 500?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tyler Reddick

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,929
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Shane van Gisbergen

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$239,081
$583
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jimmie Johnson

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$40,713
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Anthony Alfredo

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$17,261
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

William Byron

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$13,208
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Ryan Blaney

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$13,007
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Michael McDowell

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$3,003
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kyle Larson

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,959
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Austin Cindric

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,891
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Ryan Preece

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,756
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Chase Elliott

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,558
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Chase Briscoe

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,553
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Noah Gragson

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,279
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Casey Mears

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,131
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Cody Ware

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,129
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Alex Bowman

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,013
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kyle Busch

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,002
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Chris Buescher

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,002
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Carson Hocevar

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$983
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Bubba Wallace

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$978
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Riley Herbst

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$873
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Justin Allgaier

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$858
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Joey Logano

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$836
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Cole Custer

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$756
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Denny Hamlin

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$728
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 59

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which driver will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Daytona 500, scheduled for February 15, 2026. The group contains 60 individual binary markets, each asking whether a specific driver (or placeholder driver code) will win the race, plus one catch-all market for any other winner.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket provides complete, detailed resolution rules with clear edge case handling and a single authoritative source (NASCAR). Kalshi provides no rules data, creating an assumption of consistency with industry standard NASCAR resolution practices. Both platforms reference the same event (2026 Daytona 500, February 15, 2026) and the same authoritative source (NASCAR official results).Primary resolution logic: NASCAR official final results published at https://www.nascar.com/ following race conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Exactly one driver wins the 2026 Daytona 500; that driver's market resolves to Yes, all other named driver markets resolve to No
  • Resolution is based on NASCAR's published final results, including any time penalties or official adjustments applied at time of publication
  • Post-publication disqualifications or result changes do not affect market resolution
  • Podium ceremony timing is irrelevant; only NASCAR's official final results determine the outcome
  • If a named driver becomes ineligible per NASCAR Cup Series rules (disqualification, withdrawal), that driver's market resolves to No
  • The catch-all market (another driver) resolves to Yes only if the race winner is not among the 59 named drivers listed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 Daytona 500 is cancelled, postponed past March 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, all markets in the group resolve to Other
  • Driver Disqualification or Withdrawal: If a listed driver becomes ineligible per NASCAR Cup Series rules before or during the race, that driver's corresponding market resolves to No
  • Post-Publication Result Changes: Any disqualifications or result changes made after NASCAR publishes official final results do not affect market resolution
  • Placeholder Driver Codes: Markets referencing placeholder driver codes (Driver A through Driver O) will resolve based on the identity of the actual driver assigned to that code at race time, or to No if no driver is assigned or the assignment becomes invalid
  • Mutual Exclusivity: Exactly one market in the group will resolve to Yes (the actual race winner); all other driver-specific markets resolve to No, and the catch-all market resolves Yes only if the winner is not among the 59 named drivers
Timing: Resolution occurs after NASCAR publishes official final results following the conclusion of the 2026 Daytona 500 race on February 15, 2026. Markets must resolve by March 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET or default to Other.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.