TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Nagoya Grampus vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima
kalshi
polymarket

Nagoya Grampus vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Volume:
$65,798

Nagoya

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nagoya

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,530
N/A
N/A
$5,297
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nagoya Grampus

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,469
N/A
N/A
$12,091
Settled
No
polymarket

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,946
N/A
N/A
$1,936
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Nagoya Grampus vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. All three Kalshi conditions (Tie wins, Nagoya wins, Hiroshima wins) resolve to Yes, meaning the market resolves Yes regardless of outcome. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Nagoya win, Hiroshima win, Draw) that each resolve independently and consistently.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they are fundamentally broken. The platform's three conditions cover all possible match outcomes but all resolve to Yes, making the market meaningless. Trade only Polymarket's three separate markets (Nagoya win, Hiroshima win, Draw), which are logically sound and mutually exclusive.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to Yes regardless of match outcome. Conditions state 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes', 'If Nagoya wins... then resolves to Yes', and 'If Hiroshima wins... then resolves to Yes'. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, the market always resolves Yes, rendering it logically incoherent and unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets. Market 1 resolves Yes only if Nagoya wins, No otherwise. Market 2 resolves Yes only if Hiroshima wins, No otherwise. Market 3 resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw, No otherwise. Exactly one market resolves Yes based on the actual match outcome. Each market explicitly states 'If [outcome] occurs, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.