TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nagoya Grampus vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Volume:
$65,798
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. All three Kalshi conditions (Tie wins, Nagoya wins, Hiroshima wins) resolve to Yes, meaning the market resolves Yes regardless of outcome. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Nagoya win, Hiroshima win, Draw) that each resolve independently and consistently.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they are fundamentally broken. The platform's three conditions cover all possible match outcomes but all resolve to Yes, making the market meaningless. Trade only Polymarket's three separate markets (Nagoya win, Hiroshima win, Draw), which are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to Yes regardless of match outcome. Conditions state 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes', 'If Nagoya wins... then resolves to Yes', and 'If Hiroshima wins... then resolves to Yes'. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, the market always resolves Yes, rendering it logically incoherent and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets. Market 1 resolves Yes only if Nagoya wins, No otherwise. Market 2 resolves Yes only if Hiroshima wins, No otherwise. Market 3 resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw, No otherwise. Exactly one market resolves Yes based on the actual match outcome. Each market explicitly states 'If [outcome] occurs, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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