TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Volume:
$391,397
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Avispa win, Tie, Nagoya win), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction that violates basic market design principles.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it is unresolvable as written. The three Polymarket binary markets (Nagoya win, Avispa win, Draw) provide clear, mutually exclusive outcomes and should be used instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Draw resolves YES if match ends in a tie, NO otherwise; (2) Avispa win resolves YES if Avispa wins, NO otherwise; (3) Nagoya win resolves YES if Nagoya wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Avispa wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nagoya wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No NO resolution condition is defined, making it impossible for the market to resolve to NO under any match outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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