TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
Volume:
$1,689,709
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Murray State Racers and Nevada Wolf Pack on March 18 at 10:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Murray State win OR Nevada win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a specific winner or outcome. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it violates basic binary logic by resolving YES regardless of who wins. All trading should reference Polymarket's markets, which have coherent resolution criteria tied to actual game outcomes (winner, spread, total points).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Murray St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Nevada wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable and unsuitable for trading. Key quote: 'If Murray St. wins the Murray St. at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nevada wins the Murray St. at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Provides coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes. The moneyline market resolves to 'Murray State Racers' if Murray State wins, or 'Nevada Wolf Pack' if Nevada wins — exactly one outcome per game result. Spread and total markets use clear thresholds (e.g., Nevada wins by 9+ points for -8.5 spread; combined score 163+ for O/U 162.5). Key quote: 'If the Murray State Racers win, the market will resolve to Murray State Racers. If the Nevada Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to Nevada Wolf Pack.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.