TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Murray State Racers vs. Bradley Braves (W)
Volume:
$67,610
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Murray State Racers and Bradley Braves scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Bradley win and Murray St. win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria is logically impossible—it assigns Yes to every possible outcome, which violates the fundamental structure of a binary market. Polymarket's market is properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes. Wait for Kalshi to correct their resolution logic before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Proper binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Murray State win resolves to Murray State Racers, Bradley win resolves to Bradley Braves. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logic: both Bradley win and Murray St. win are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every game outcome produces the same resolution, making the market unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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