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Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)

Volume:
$8,330

Merrimack

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Merrimack

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,989
N/A
N/A
$3,780
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mount St. Mary's

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,341
N/A
N/A
$1,824
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET at Merrimack. The markets across platforms are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: it states both possible outcomes (Merrimack win and Mount St. Mary's win) resolve to Yes, which violates binary market semantics. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (winner name). These cannot be reconciled without clarification of Kalshi's actual contract.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's logic as stated is unresolvable. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the contract is actually a Yes/No on a specific team, or if the source data contains an error. Polymarket's structure is clear and tradeable. Treat Polymarket as the reliable reference until Kalshi's contract is verified.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes (Merrimack win and Mount St. Mary's win) are stated to resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market and suggests either a data transcription error or a malformed contract. Key Quote: 'If Merrimack wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mount St. Mary's wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team. Includes explicit provisions for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers. If the Merrimack College Warriors win, the market will resolve to Merrimack College Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.