TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stags
Volume:
$463,323
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers and Fairfield Stags scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 144.5 and 145.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes if Fairfield wins OR if Mount St. Mary's wins, which covers all possible outcomes and makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spreads, totals) is safe to trade and uses consistent NCAA.com final score methodology across all markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner; spreads resolve based on margin (Fairfield -3.5 requires 4+ point win, -4.5 requires 5+ point win); totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold. All use final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Postponement keeps market open.
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Fairfield wins...resolves Yes. If Mount St. Mary's wins...resolves Yes.' This is a logical tautology covering all possible outcomes, making the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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