TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Morocco vs. Paraguay
Volume:
$608,097
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Morocco and Paraguay.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves all three outcomes (Morocco win, tie, Paraguay win) to YES, creating logical impossibility, while Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary markets for each outcome. Kalshi's structure is fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group — they cannot resolve correctly since all three outcomes cannot simultaneously be YES. Trade only Polymarket's three binary markets (Morocco win, draw, Paraguay win), which are logically sound and mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve to YES regardless of outcome. Market 1 states 'If Morocco wins...resolves to Yes', Market 2 states 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes', and Market 3 states 'If Paraguay wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical contradiction where exactly one outcome must occur, but all three markets are written to resolve YES.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Provides three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome. Morocco win market resolves YES only if Morocco wins; draw market resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; Paraguay win market resolves YES only if Paraguay wins. All reference 'the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers' with FIFA.com as the primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.