TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Morocco vs. Ecuador
Volume:
$1,051,865
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, March 27, 2026 between Morocco and Ecuador.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket treats a game cancellation as a NO resolution for win/loss markets but YES for the draw market, while Kalshi uses a three-outcome structure (Morocco wins, Ecuador wins, or Tie) that does not explicitly address cancellation, creating inconsistent handling of the cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
If you are betting on Polymarket's draw market and concerned about cancellation risk, note that Polymarket resolves a canceled game to YES (draw), while the win markets resolve to NO. Kalshi's three-outcome structure does not clarify how cancellation is handled, so verify with Kalshi support before placing large positions on this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Morocco win, Draw, Ecuador win). For win/loss markets, cancellation with no make-up resolves NO; for the draw market, cancellation resolves YES. All markets reference FIFA as the primary source and resolve on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw market).
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Morocco wins, Ecuador wins, Tie) structured as separate yes/no contracts. No explicit cancellation clause is provided in the rules. All markets resolve on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'If Morocco wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Ecuador wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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