TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs
Volume:
$99,566
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Morgan State Bears and South Carolina State Bulldogs on February 14 at 4:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different resolution logic. Polymarket resolves to the winner of the game (Morgan State Bears or South Carolina State Bulldogs), while Kalshi resolves to YES for any outcome where either team wins, making Kalshi's market logically unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent outcomes. On Polymarket, you are betting on which team wins. On Kalshi, the market resolves YES regardless of who wins, which violates basic binary market logic and suggests a critical data or specification error on Kalshi's side. Seek clarification from Kalshi before placing any bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves to the actual winner of the game — either 'Morgan State Bears' or 'South Carolina State Bulldogs' — based on final score including overtime. Key quote: 'If the Morgan State Bears win, the market will resolve to Morgan State Bears. If the South Carolina State Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to South Carolina State Bulldogs.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market resolves to YES if South Carolina State wins OR if Morgan State wins, creating a logical contradiction where every possible game outcome triggers a YES resolution. Key quote: 'If South Carolina St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgan St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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