TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Morgan State Bears vs. Norfolk State Spartans (W)
Volume:
$105,778
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Morgan State Bears and Norfolk State Spartans scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Morgan St. wins OR Norfolk St. wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a documentation error. The market as stated cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be your reference framework.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all resolution. Morgan State Bears win resolves to Morgan State Bears; Norfolk State Spartans win resolves to Norfolk State Spartans. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically defective: both Morgan St. win and Norfolk St. win are mapped to Yes resolution, creating no path to No. This violates binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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